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decline, then the safety margin is increased, but any increases in the interest rate will decrease the safety margin, possibly. Immunization is more difficult to achieve with bonds with embedded options, such as call provisions, or prepayments made on mortgage-backed securities, since cash flow is more difficult to predict. As the capital market gets sophisticated and given the impressive volume of bonds traded at the secondary market, it is important for the investors to understand some of the bonds trading strategies. Portfolio returns whether from an active or passively managed portfolio will be compared against a benchmark index. Bonds with forecasted upgrades are bought; bonds with potential downgrades are sold or avoided.
One basis point equals 1/100th of 1 of yield (or 100 basis points are equal to 1 of yield). So a portfolio must focus on the most liquid bonds with high trading volumes and bond issues which are about to change in value. Treasuries when the Federal Reserve is expected to increase the money supply, which it usually does by buying Treasuries. If rates are not favourable, you'll continue to have a portion of your portfolio in higher yields than the market. A total return analysis or horizon analysis is conducted to evaluate several strategies using bond portfolios with different durations to see how they would fare under different interest rate changes, based on expected market changes during the investment horizon. This is based on the creditworthiness of the bond issuer, since the chance of default increases as the creditworthiness of the issuer declines. Multiple discriminate models generally assess the most important factors that determine the creditworthiness of the issuer by applying appropriate weights to each of the factors. For a bank, CD liabilities are certain in both amount and in the timing.